--- description: "Applies price-momentum to the residuals of a Fama-French factor regression rather than raw returns, isolating stock-specific momentum from common factor exposures." tags: [stocks, momentum, residual, fama-french] --- # Residual Momentum **Section**: 3.7 | **Asset Class**: Stocks | **Type**: Momentum ## Overview Residual momentum replaces raw stock returns in the price-momentum strategy with the residuals of a serial regression of stock returns on common risk factors (e.g., the 3 Fama-French factors). This isolates the stock-specific component of momentum, removing the influence of market, size, and value factor exposures. The approach is attributed to Blitz, Huij and Martens (2011). ## Construction / Signal **Step 1 — Factor regression** (36-month estimation period, with 1-month skip): ``` R_i(t) = alpha_i + beta_{1,i} MKT(t) + beta_{2,i} SMB(t) + beta_{3,i} HML(t) + epsilon_i(t) (278) ``` where: - `MKT(t)` = excess market return (market portfolio minus risk-free rate) - `SMB(t)` = Small Minus Big (size factor) - `HML(t)` = High Minus Low (book-to-market factor) Estimated over a 36-month period to get coefficients `alpha_i`, `beta_{1,i}`, `beta_{2,i}`, `beta_{3,i}`. **Step 2 — Compute residuals** for the 12-month formation period (S=1 skip): ``` epsilon_i(t) = R_i(t) - beta_{1,i} MKT(t) - beta_{2,i} SMB(t) - beta_{3,i} HML(t) (279) ``` Note: `alpha_i` is excluded from this computation (it was estimated over the 36-month period, not the 12-month formation period). **Step 3 — Risk-adjusted residual return**: ``` epsilon_i^mean = (1/T) * sum_{t=S}^{S+T-1} epsilon_i(t) (280) R_tilde_i^risk.adj = epsilon_i^mean / sigma_tilde_i (281) sigma_tilde_i^2 = 1/(T-1) * sum_{t=S}^{S+T-1} (epsilon_i(t) - epsilon_i^mean)^2 (282) ``` Construct a dollar-neutral portfolio by buying stocks in the top decile by `R_tilde_i^risk.adj` and shorting stocks in the bottom decile. ## Entry / Exit Rules - **Entry**: At rebalance, buy top-decile stocks by risk-adjusted residual return; short bottom-decile stocks. - **Exit**: Hold for typically 1 month (can be longer). - **Skip period**: S=1 month. ## Key Parameters - **Factor model**: 3 Fama-French factors (MKT, SMB, HML); Carhart 4-factor model (adding MOM) is an alternative - **Regression estimation period**: 36 months - **Formation period T**: 12 months - **Skip period S**: 1 month - **Holding period**: Typically 1 month - **Portfolio construction**: Dollar-neutral long/short decile ## Variations - **4-factor model**: Add Carhart momentum factor MOM(t) to regression - **Alternative factor models**: Industry factors, principal components, other risk models ## Notes - Alpha_i is deliberately excluded from the residual computation for the formation period, as it was estimated over the longer 36-month window. - Typical holding period is 1 month but can be extended. - The strategy removes common factor momentum (e.g., sector momentum) and isolates idiosyncratic stock momentum. - Risk: residual momentum can be sensitive to the choice of factor model and estimation period.