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gateway/knowledge/trading/strategies/fixed-income/bullets.md
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gateway/knowledge/trading/strategies/fixed-income/bullets.md
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description: "A bullet portfolio concentrates all bond holdings at a single target maturity, used to express a directional view on interest rates at a specific point on the yield curve."
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tags: [fixed-income, duration, bullet, yield-curve]
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---
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# Bullets
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**Section**: 5.2 | **Asset Class**: Fixed Income | **Type**: Duration / Directional
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## Overview
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In a bullet portfolio all bonds share the same maturity date T, targeting a specific segment of the yield curve. The strategy expresses a view on the direction of interest rates at that maturity. Bonds are typically purchased over time to mitigate timing risk from rate fluctuations.
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## Construction / Mechanics
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- Select a target maturity T based on the trader's interest rate outlook.
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- Purchase bonds of that maturity, potentially accumulating positions over time.
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- Hold to maturity or until the rate view is realized.
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Purchasing over time mitigates interest rate risk: if rates rise, later purchases capture higher yields; if rates fall, earlier purchases lock in higher yields.
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## Payoff / Return Profile
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- **Rates expected to fall** (bond prices rise): pick a longer maturity — longer bonds gain more in price from a given yield decline (higher duration).
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- **Rates expected to rise** (bond prices fall): pick a shorter maturity — shorter bonds lose less.
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- **Uncertain outlook**: diversify across maturities (barbell or ladder preferred).
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## Key Parameters / Signals
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- Target maturity T: the single maturity determining duration exposure
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- Modified duration: scales with T; determines price sensitivity to rate changes
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- Interest rate forecast: the primary signal driving maturity selection
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## Variations
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- Building the portfolio gradually over time to average in across different rate environments.
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## Notes
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- Concentrating at one maturity creates pure duration exposure with no convexity advantage.
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- Compared to a barbell with the same duration, a bullet has lower convexity, meaning it is more exposed to parallel yield curve shifts.
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- Suitable when the trader has a strong directional view on a specific maturity segment.
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